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2013.05.16 : Forex Technical Analysis: Can the US Dollar continue its clear domination?

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: The German and the Euro Zone Gross Domestic Products both came out worse than expected, and this generated more Euro weakness, driving the pair lower for almost the entire duration of yesterday’s trading session.

20130516-Can-the-US-Dollar-continue-its-clear-domination-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The pair struggled to move lower but encountered heavy support at 1.5220 and failed to break it decisively. The bunk of England Inflation Report and Mervyn King’s press conference briefly strengthened the Pound and drove the pair higher.

20130516-Can-the-US-Dollar-continue-its-clear-domination-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.05.17 : Forex Technical Analysis: Finishing the week below support?

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: Yesterday’s economic indicators weakened the US Dollar and as a result the pair retraced higher, above 1.2880. The US Core Consumer Price Index came out lower than expected, with a value of 0.1% (estimated was 0.2%). The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index contributed to the greenback’s weakness, posting a value of -5.2 from the anticipated 2.5.

20130517-Finishing-the-week-below-support-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The Cable also climbed on the back of US Dollar weakness generated by the economic events mentioned earlier and moved above 1.5220.

20130517-Finishing-the-week-below-support-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.05.20 : Forex Technical Analysis: Major Banks closed. Irregular movement is expected.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: During Friday’s trading session the pair reversed all previous gains and resumed its downward path on the back of better than expected values for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey (anticipated 77.9 and actual 83.7).

20130520-Major-Banks-closed.-Irregular-movement-is-expected.-pic1-1024x682.png


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GBP/USD

Although the pair moved above the level of 1.5220, Friday it returned below it and almost the entire trading session was dominated by the US Dollar due to the strength generated by the survey we already mentioned.

20130520-Major-Banks-closed.-Irregular-movement-is-expected.-pic21-1024x682.png


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2013.05.21 : Forex Technical Analysis: The retracement higher is completed. Lower prices are expected.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: For almost the entire duration of yesterday’s trading session the pair moved higher, touching two times the important level of 1.2880 and even moving above it on the second attempt. The movement was slow but steady.

20130521-The-retracement-higher-is-completed.-Lower-prices-are-expected.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

Similar to the EUR/USD, the Cable traded higher for almost the entire Monday, completing a correction pattern to the up side.

20130521-The-retracement-higher-is-completed.-Lower-prices-are-expected.-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.05.22 : Forex Technical Analysis: Today’s headline – Ben Bernanke’s testimony in Washington DC.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: In the first part of yesterday’s trading session the pair appeared to break below the level of 1.2880 but the comments made by James Bullard (FOMC member) about continuing the US stimulus package sent price above the mentioned level.

20130522-Today%E2%80%99s-headline-%E2%80%93-Ben-Bernanke%E2%80%99s-testimony-in-Washington-DC.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The first part of yesterday’s trading session was characterized by movement into lower territory, generated by the worse than expected UK Consumer Price Index (actual 2.4% and anticipated 2.6%) which weakened the Pound.

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2013.05.23 : Forex Technical Analysis: Another day headlined by an important speech.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: The speech of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke produced the anticipated volatility and brought the pair below 1.2880 after first rising to touch the important resistance located at 1.3000. The Dollar started to strengthen on the back of Ben Bernanke’s comments suggesting a potential reduction of asset purchases in the near future if the economy will show signs of sustained improvement.

20130523-Another-day-headlined-by-an-important-speech-pic1-1024x660.png



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GBP/USD

The Cable also fell on the back of Ben Bernanke’s comments, after a brief rally. Almost the entire day has been controlled by the bears and the pair reached the predicted target of 1.5040.

20130523-Another-day-headlined-by-an-important-speech-pic21-1024x660.png



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2013.05.24 : The Forex Market: Is the bears’ power starting to fade?

EUR/USD

After the massive drop experienced Wednesday in the forex market explained, yesterday the pair climbed above 1.2880 and even touched the resistance located at 1.2955. The German Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index came out with better values than expected and this helped the Euro to drive the pair higher but Dollar weakness had a big role in the climb.

20130524-The-forex-market-explained-The-bears-Picture-01-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The greenback weakened against the Pound as well and the pair bounced higher after touching the level of 1.5040. The Second Estimate GDP came out with the anticipated value of 0.3% and it didn’t have a great impact on the pair as the rise was triggered by Dollar weakness, not Pound strength.

20130524-The-forex-market-explained-The-bears-Picture-02-1024x660.png


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2013.05.27 : The Forex Market: Two bunk Holidays translate into irregular movement.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Friday’s better than expected German Ifo Business Climate strengthened the Euro and drove the pair higher but in the second part of the trading session, higher than anticipated values for the US Core Durable Goods Orders took the pair lower, nullifying all the previous gains.

http://www.gdmfx.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/20130527-Two-bunk-Holidays-translate-into-irregular-movement.-pic1-1024x660.png

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GBP/USD

For almost the entire duration of Friday’s trading session the pair slowly grinded higher, but overall it lacked momentum and the entire day had a 70 pip range.

http://www.gdmfx.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/20130527-Two-bunk-Holidays-translate-into-irregular-movement.-pic2-1024x660.png

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2013.05.28 : The Forex Market: Resuming normal movement after an uneventful Monday.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Just as anticipated, the fact that both the UK and US Banks were closed yesterday generated a lack of volatility and almost sideways movement.

20130528-Resuming-normal-movement-after-an-uneventful-Monday.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

Although the Cable moved slightly stronger than the EUR/USD, the two bunk holidays affected it as well. However, the trading session was dominated by the bears who managed to take price lower.

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2013.05.29 : The Forex Market: A day which is likely to be a trend-setter.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: The US Consumer Confidence announced at 2:00 pm GMT came out with a better than expected value (76.2 from an estimated 70.7); this generated US Dollar strength and consequently, the pair started to move on a bearish path.

20130529-A-day-which-is-likely-to-be-a-trend-setter.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

Just as the EUR/USD, the pair moved lower for almost the entire duration of yesterday’s trading session on the back of better than expected US Consumer Confidence and the important support at 1.5040 was touched.

20130529-A-day-which-is-likely-to-be-a-trend-setter.-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.05.30 : The Forex Market: US events hold today’s headlines.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Yesterday at 12:00 pm GMT the German Preliminary Consumer Price Index was released and the increase was higher than anticipated: 0.4% from an estimated 0.2%. This strengthened the Euro, took the pair higher and almost the entire day was controlled by the bulls.

20130530-US-events-hold-today%E2%80%99s-headlines.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The British Pound briefly weakened yesterday when the CBI Realized Sales came out with a lower than anticipated value but the fall was quickly reversed once the US Dollar started to show signs of weakness.

20130530-US-events-hold-today%E2%80%99s-headlines.-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.05.31 : The Forex Market: A shift of power might be ahead.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Yesterday’s trading session was entirely driven by the US data and surprisingly, all there important economic indicators came out worse than expected, triggering US Dollar weakness and a consequent move up for our pair.

20130531-A-shift-of-power-might-be-ahead.-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The greenback’s weakness drove the pair higher and the resistance located at 1.5165 was easily broken but 1.5220 is still holding and might reject price lower.

20130531-A-shift-of-power-might-be-ahead.-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.06.03 : The Forex Market: Locked between support and resistance?

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: During Friday’s trading session the pair retraced lower, almost paring all the previous gains, on the back of better than expected numbers for the Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index which showed an increase from the anticipated 50.3 to 58.7 and strengthened the greenback.

20130603-Locked-between-support-and-resistance-pic1-1024x706.png


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GBP/USD

Friday the pair made another attempt at breaking the resistance located at 1.5220 but failed and the result was a move lower towards 1.5145.

20130603-Locked-between-support-and-resistance-pic2-1024x706.png


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2013.06.04 : The Forex Market: What will be the Bears’ answer to yesterday’s rally?

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Yesterday’s trading session was unexpectedly volatile and we experienced surprisingly strong moves for a Monday. The day started in a normal fashion, but the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index posted a lower value than the anticipated one (estimated was 50.6 and actual was 49.0) and this triggered US Dollar weakness.

20130604-What-will-be-the-Bears%E2%80%99-answer-to-yesterday%E2%80%99s-rally-pic1-1024x706.png


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GBP/USD

The worse than expected US data coupled with a better than expected UK Manufacturing PMI generated a massive rally which easily broke through the important resistance located at 1.5220.

20130604-What-will-be-the-Bears%E2%80%99-answer-to-yesterday%E2%80%99s-rally-pic2-1024x706.png


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2013.06.05 : The Forex Market: Looking for new highs?

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: The retracement lower we anticipated occurred during yesterday’s trading session but overall the day was characterized by slow and mostly sideways movement. The US Trade Balance came out at -40.3B, better than the estimated -41.1B but the release failed to produce a high impact.

20130605-Looking-for-new-highs-pic1-1024x706.png


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GBP/USD

UK’s Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index came out better than expected (estimated 49.7 and actual 50.8) but the pair couldn’t continue its bullish path and slowly retraced lower.

20130605-Looking-for-new-highs-pic2-1024x706.png


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2013.06.06 : The Forex Market: The most eagerly awaited day of the week is finally here.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Surprisingly, the last two days have been very slow and price traded in a narrow range between 1.3055 and 1.3100. Although the US ADP Non-Farm Employment numbers came out much worse than anticipated, at 135K (estimated number was 171K), the event failed to significantly move the stubborn pair.

20130606-The-most-eagerly-awaited-day-of-the-week-is-finally-here-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The Cable managed yesterday to move above 1.5380 on the back of better than expected numbers for the UK Services PMI (actual 54.9 and anticipated 53.1); bad US data also weakened the greenback and this made the rise easier.

20130606-The-most-eagerly-awaited-day-of-the-week-is-finally-here-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.06.07 : The Forex Market: The last day of a surprising week.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Although the benchmark rate remained unchanged at 0.50%, ECB President Mario Draghi seemed much more optimistic about an economic recovery than he did during his last interest rate Press Conference and the effect was a massive rally which broke through the important resistance located at 1.3200.

20130607-The-last-day-of-a-surprising-week-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The UK Official bunk Rate remained unchanged and so did the Asset Purchase Facility, but correlation between the two pairs proved to be strong and the GBP/USD also moved on a strong bullish path, similar to the sister pair, EUR/USD.

20130607-The-last-day-of-a-surprising-week-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.06.10 : The Forex Market: Slow start of the week.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Friday’s better than expected US Non Farm Employment Change numbers (actual 175K and expected 167K) managed to strengthen the greenback but the tremendous buyer pressure present in the market prevented the pair from dropping substantially.

20130610-Slow-start-of-the-week-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The US Dollar strength generated by the US Employment data affected directly the Cable and as a result the pair moved below 1.5600, touching the support at 1.5490.

20130610-Slow-start-of-the-week-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.06.11 : The Forex Market: A clash with Resistance is imminent.

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: The French Industrial Production numbers came out with a major and surprising increase: the actual value was 2.2% while the forecast was just 0.2%. However, the impact of this indicator is a mild one and as we saw, its release did not strengthen the Euro substantially and overall the trading session was a ranging one.

20130611-A-clash-with-Resistance-is-imminent-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

The pair had a ranging trading session as well and touched 1.5490 again but failed to move substantially in one direction.

20130611-A-clash-with-Resistance-is-imminent-pic2-1024x660.png


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2013.06.12 : The Forex Market: Confirming a breakout scenario?

EUR/USD

The Forex Market: Yesterday’s trading session was a mixed one and price failed to break the resistance located at 1.3320 although it came very close to it. No important financial or economic events took place and price remained confined in a range with a slightly bullish bias.

20130612-Confirming-a-breakout-scenario-pic1-1024x660.png


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GBP/USD

UK’s Manufacturing Production numbers came out worse than expected, at -0.2% from the anticipated 0.0%, but the event didn’t generate strong volatility, probably because the difference between the anticipated number and the actual one was very small.

20130612-Confirming-a-breakout-scenario-pic2-1024x660.png


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